The clear victory of Donald Trump, which had been predicted to be a tight race, caught many in the EU by surprise. Why, despite his harsh and aggressive rhetoric, was Donald Trump still successful? In times of increasing polarization not only in the US but also in European countries, is the EU prepared for another Trump presidency?

In a post-election analysis, experts discussed the implications of Trump’s victory on both American democracy and Europe’s security, particularly regarding U.S. support for Ukraine. They noted that Trump’s approach might return to unilateral actions, impacting U.S.-EU trade relations and responses to the Middle East crisis, in contrast to a potential Harris administration’s diplomatic approach. Strong positions on China and potential divergences on climate and immigration policies were also highlighted as areas that could reshape EU-U.S. relations under a Trump administration.

Hannes Swoboda

Is what Donald Trump represents, a reason to be afraid—especially here in Europe? Developments in the U.S. have a direct impact on European policies and trends due to the close economic and political connections between the U.S. and Europe. This pertains not only to the new characteristics and attitudes of American society but also to the political consequences of recent elections. In many respects, the U.S. has become “Trump Land,” and there are also political forces in Europe eager to reshape our societies in a similar way.

The European Union claims to protect its citizens, values and interests and act as a contributor to international peace and security. At the same time, its immediate neighbourhood is becoming ever more conflict-prone and dangerous, thus presenting a huge challenge for the EU. The future of the European security order is at stake, the economic model of Europe is being put into question by geopolitics, migration affects the political and societal cohesion throughout the EU.